by OddsShark (@OddsShark) – Sponsored Post
Minus money on a bullpen day could make the Toronto Blue Jays a reduced-value but high-risk proposition as they enter a matchup with some solid UNDER trends on Tuesday.
The Blue Jays opened as small -110 away favourites against the +100 Miami Marlins with an 8.5-run total on the MLB odds for Tuesday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The Blue Jays are 6-4 in their last 10 away games, with the total finishing UNDER five times with two pushes. The Marlins are 2-8 in their last 10 home games, and the total has gone UNDER in three of their last four matchups at Marlins Park.
Toronto has a 4-11 record in its last 15 away games against National League opponents, with the total finishing UNDER 10 times at betting sites. The total has also gone UNDER in seven of their last eight away games against NL East competition. The Marlins are 4-11 in their last 15 home games against American League teams, with the total finishing UNDER eight times.
The Blue Jays are averaging 3.8 runs per game on the road, with a .224 / .288 / .393 batting slash line. However, the pitching staff has compensated with a 3.58 road earned-run average, fifth-best among the 30 MLB teams. The Marlins have played a MLB-fewest nine home games, and are dead last in home scoring at 2.89 runs per game while their 5.22 home ERA ranks 27th, or fourth-worst.
It appears the Blue Jays, who have to wait for newly acquired starting pitchers Robbie Ray and Ross Stripling to receive clearance to join the roster, could have a bullpen day on Tuesday. Julian Merryweather (0-0, 0.00 ERA, 15.2 strikeouts per nine innings in three appearances) might be the opening pitcher, since he is Toronto’s most rested reliever. The Marlins will send out righthander Elieser Hernandez (1-0, 3.04 ERA, 12.2 SO/9). The Marlins are 5-7 in Hernandez’s last 12 starts at home, with the total finishing UNDER seven times.
Lefthander Hyun Jin Ryu (2-1, 2.92 ERA, 9.7 SO/9) is scheduled to start Wednesday’s matchup opposite Marlins rookie righthander Sixto Sanchez (1-0, 2.25 ERA, 10.5 SO/9). In 32.1 career innings against Miami, Ryu has a 2.23 ERA on the strength of limiting batters to a .211 / .291 / .377 slash line. The total has gone UNDER in 13 of his last 20 starts on the road. Sanchez, who used his changeup to devastating effect in his first two starts, should pose a challenge to Toronto hitters
The Blue Jays’ next series is a five-games-in-four-days set against the Boston Red Sox. Toronto is designated as the home team for the second game of Friday’s doubleheader.