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MLBTR projects the Blue Jays’ 12 arbitration-eligible players will cost the team $43 million

MLB Trade Rumours released its annual arbitration salary projections on Monday, and here’s what they have for the Blue Jays and the 12 arb-eligible players on the roster…

  • Ross Stripling – $4.4MM
  • Jose Berrios – $10.9MM
  • Jacob Barnes – $1.2MM
  • Teoscar Hernandez – $10.0MM
  • Adam Cimber – $1.5MM
  • Trevor Richards – $1.1MM
  • Ryan Borucki – $800K
  • Danny Jansen – $1.5MM
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. – $7.9MM
  • Tim Mayza – $1.2MM
  • Trent Thornton – $900K
  • Cavan Biggio – $1.7MM

All told, that’s just a shade over $43 million for the group. Add that to the $58 million the team has committed to the 2022 payroll currently (George Springer, Hyun Jin Ryu, Randal Grichuk, and Lourdes Gurriel), and you have just over $100 million before considering free agents and other players who would flesh out the roster.

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Of course, these are just projections and, obviously, nothing is set in stone, but MLBTR is generally pretty good with these things, so it’s a good place to start thinking about the off-season. Looking up and down this list, I would assume that 10 of these players are tendered contracts, with Jacob Barnes being a pretty easy choice to cut loose and Trent Thornton being a realistic 40-man roster casualty.

Another thing to consider is that a few of these players are long-term deal candidates. Teoscar Hernandez and Jose Berrios aren’t far from free agency and the Blue Jays should be looking to sign Vladdy Jr. to a long-term deal this winter. But even if any of these three players ink multi-year deals, their salary for 2022 would likely come in somewhere around these arb-based projections.

Long story short, the Blue Jays have quite a bit of financial flexibility to work with this winter. I don’t think signing both Robbie Ray and Marcus Semien would be out of the question, assuming they want to return.