The Toronto Blue Jays are interested in everyone, and Luis Severino is no exception.

Throughout his 10 seasons in the big leagues, the 30-year-old right-handed pitcher has never pitched for a team outside New York City. He spent nine seasons with the New York Yankees from 2015 until 2023, before signing a one-year deal with the New York Mets before the 2024 season.
After declining the Mets’ qualifying offer, which means losing a draft pick for any team signing him, Severino is once again on the market and is one of the best mid-tier pitchers available.
Let’s dive into his stats, contract outlook, and whether or not he’s a fit for the Blue Jays.
<h2>Luis Severino’s stats</h2>
Last season was a good bounce-back year for the Dominican righty. With the Mets, he posted a 3.91 ERA and a 4.21 FIP in 182 innings pitched, with a 21.2 K% and a 7.9 BB%. The Miracle Mets reached the National League Championship Series, and the 30-year-old made three starts with a 3.24 ERA and a 4.43 FIP in 16.2 innings pitched.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="550" data-dnt="true">
Luis Severino, Filthy 86mph Sweeper. 😷
4th K <a href="https://t.co/dTGyGR1W9K">pic.twitter.com/dTGyGR1W9K</a>
&mdash; Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) <a href="https://twitter.com/PitchingNinja/status/1843034384741597514?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 6, 2024</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
Simply put, it was a much better season for Severino after a disastrous 2023, where he had a 6.65 ERA and a 6.14 FIP in 89.1 innings pitched with the Yankees. In 2022, he pitched 102 innings with a 3.18 ERA and a 3.70 FIP, but missed the majority of the 2019, 2020, and 2021 seasons, pitching just 18 innings in those three years.
This is a far cry from his early career where he looked like the next Yankees ace. In 2017, Severino had a 2.98 ERA and a 3.07 FIP in 193.1 innings pitched, with a 29.4 K% and a 6.5 BB% for a career-best 5.6 fWAR. His 2018 was great as well, as the righty finished that year with a 3.39 ERA and a 2.95 FIP in 191.1 innings pitched, with a 28.2 K%, a 5.9 BB%, and a 5.4 fWAR.
He never developed into an ace, but he’s a great middle-of-the-rotation starter.
<h2>Luis Severino’s contract outlook</h2>
<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/5863532/2024/10/31/mlb-free-agents-2024-contract-team-predictions-soto/">The Athletic’s Jim Bowden</a> predicts he’ll earn a two-year, $32 million deal worth $16 million a season. Comparable contracts to this include Chris Bassitt, Miles Mikolas, Seth Lugo, Zach Eflin, Lucas Giolito, Marcus Stroman, Nathan Eovaldi, and Reynaldo López. This is what you’d expect from a #3 in the rotation.
<a href="https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/player/market-value/_/id/18091/luis-severino">Spotrac has Severino’s market value</a> higher than Bowden, as it sits at $21.4 million a season. Over four years, he’d make about $85.462 million with similar contracts to Eduardo Rodríguez, Luis Castillo, Robbie Ray, and Yusei Kikuchi.
<h2>Is Luis Severino a fit for the Blue Jays</h2>
With interest in Max Fried, it’s safe to say that the Blue Jays would like to add a starting pitcher. Trading Yusei Kikuchi left them two inexperienced pitchers in the rotation (Bowden Francis and Yariel Rodríguez), and signing a player like Severino would push Rodríguez to the bullpen, dealing with two birds with one stone.
Ideally, you’d want a left-handed starter to sign, as José Berríos, Kevin Gausman, Chris Bassitt, and Francis are all righties, but Severino is one of the best mid-tier starters on the market. If the Jays miss out on Fried, Severino would be a nice consolation prize.
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As always, you can follow me on Bluesky @ryleydelaney.bsky.social.
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The Toronto Blue Jays are interested in everyone, and Luis Severino is no exception.



Throughout his 10 seasons in the big leagues, the 30-year-old right-handed pitcher has never pitched for a team outside New York City. He spent nine seasons with the New York Yankees from 2015 until 2023, before signing a one-year deal with the New York Mets before the 2024 season.

After declining the Mets’ qualifying offer, which means losing a draft pick for any team signing him, Severino is once again on the market and is one of the best mid-tier pitchers available.

Let’s dive into his stats, contract outlook, and whether or not he’s a fit for the Blue Jays.
<h2>Luis Severino’s stats</h2>
Last season was a good bounce-back year for the Dominican righty. With the Mets, he posted a 3.91 ERA and a 4.21 FIP in 182 innings pitched, with a 21.2 K% and a 7.9 BB%. The Miracle Mets reached the National League Championship Series, and the 30-year-old made three starts with a 3.24 ERA and a 4.43 FIP in 16.2 innings pitched.

https://twitter.com/PitchingNinja/status/1843034384741597514

Simply put, it was a much better season for Severino after a disastrous 2023, where he had a 6.65 ERA and a 6.14 FIP in 89.1 innings pitched with the Yankees. In 2022, he pitched 102 innings with a 3.18 ERA and a 3.70 FIP, but missed the majority of the 2019, 2020, and 2021 seasons, pitching just 18 innings in those three years.

This is a far cry from his early career where he looked like the next Yankees ace. In 2017, Severino had a 2.98 ERA and a 3.07 FIP in 193.1 innings pitched, with a 29.4 K% and a 6.5 BB% for a career-best 5.6 fWAR. His 2018 was great as well, as the righty finished that year with a 3.39 ERA and a 2.95 FIP in 191.1 innings pitched, with a 28.2 K%, a 5.9 BB%, and a 5.4 fWAR.

He never developed into an ace, but he’s a great middle-of-the-rotation starter.
<h2>Luis Severino’s contract outlook</h2>
<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/5863532/2024/10/31/mlb-free-agents-2024-contract-team-predictions-soto/">The Athletic’s Jim Bowden</a> predicts he’ll earn a two-year, $32 million deal worth $16 million a season. Comparable contracts to this include Chris Bassitt, Miles Mikolas, Seth Lugo, Zach Eflin, Lucas Giolito, Marcus Stroman, Nathan Eovaldi, and Reynaldo López. This is what you’d expect from a #3 in the rotation.

<a href="https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/player/market-value/_/id/18091/luis-severino">Spotrac has Severino’s market value</a> higher than Bowden, as it sits at $21.4 million a season. Over four years, he’d make about $85.462 million with similar contracts to Eduardo Rodríguez, Luis Castillo, Robbie Ray, and Yusei Kikuchi.
<h2>Is Luis Severino a fit for the Blue Jays</h2>
With interest in Max Fried, it’s safe to say that the Blue Jays would like to add a starting pitcher. Trading Yusei Kikuchi left them two inexperienced pitchers in the rotation (Bowden Francis and Yariel Rodríguez), and signing a player like Severino would push Rodríguez to the bullpen, dealing with two birds with one stone.

Ideally, you’d want a left-handed starter to sign, as José Berríos, Kevin Gausman, Chris Bassitt, and Francis are all righties, but Severino is one of the best mid-tier starters on the market. If the Jays miss out on Fried, Severino would be a nice consolation prize.

<hr />

As always, you can follow me on Bluesky @ryleydelaney.bsky.social.

<hr />

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Free Agent Profile: The Blue Jays are reportedly interested in Luis Severino, a good middle-of-the-rotation starter

Toronto Blue Jays outfielder Anthony Santander (25) congratulates outfielder Daulton Varsho (5) after hitting home run against the Philadelphia Phillies in the first inning during spring training at TD Ballpark

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