The Toronto Blue Jays came out on the wrong end of an instant classic Tuesday, suffering a heartbreaking loss in a Game 3 matchup that tied the previous record for the longest World Series game.

Oddsmakers currently have the Blue Jays priced as the largest underdog they have been this postseason in a Game 4 matchup that will see Shane Bieber squaring off against Shohei Ohtani.

Let’s dive into the game odds for Tuesday’s World Series Game 4 matchup between the Blue Jays and Dodgers, courtesy of bet365.

The Blue Jays showed plenty of resiliency during their comeback win in the ALCS and lead the league in comeback wins this season. It has to be extremely deflating to lose after grinding out 18 innings, but based on what we have seen all season long, Toronto will be prepared to offer a strong effort on Tuesday.

Game 3 almost felt like two different games for the Blue Jays offensively. The first seven innings have to be viewed as a massive success, as they added Tyler Glasnow to the list of elite starters who have failed to find success versus the Blue Jays and their elite offensive approach.

The following 11 innings or so were pretty ugly from an offensive perspective for the Blue Jays, as what had become a skeleton lineup was not able to string together quality at-bats in the same fashion Jays fans have typically seen.

The same can be said looking at the Blue Jays’ bullpen in that, to some extent, it was a story of two games. It’s frustrating to consider that in pitching 10 straight scoreless innings versus a stacked Dodgers lineup, it was arguably the best performance of the postseason from Blue Jays relievers. However, extra innings were only required because Seranthony Dominguez grooved a fastball right down the middle to Shohei Ohtani.

From an offensive perspective, it still seems quite reasonable to believe the Blue Jays can author a strong performance on Tuesday even if George Springer is unable to play. Springer’s absence obviously hurts, but Bo Bichette will then likely take over the DH role, leaving the Blue Jays with a lineup offering similar upside to what we have seen all postseason long during Bichette’s absence.

Though the first half of Game 3 was another strong offensive performance for the Blue Jays, the entirety of the game actually worsened their postseason batting splits quite considerably. Still, they have hit to a league-leading wRC+ of 129 this postseason, hold the lowest strikeout rate in baseball, and have the highest expected weighted on-base average.

Bichette has returned in strong form offensively, as in the first three games of the series, he’s batted .429 and holds a wRC+ of 173. John Schneider’s decision to pinch-run Isiah Kiner-Falefa for Bichette in the top of the seventh inning wasn’t the worst move on paper, but it worked out quite poorly after the team failed to convert on that scoring opportunity before IKF went 0-for-4 at the plate.

The Blue Jays will be desperate to get some length out of Shane Bieber in this matchup. Bieber has pitched to a 4.38 ERA this postseason and has recorded an average of 12.33 outs throughout his three starts. He got torched in his first start of the postseason at Yankee Stadium but bounced back with two better outings last round versus the Mariners and now owns a 3.06 xFIP and has struck out 10.95 batters per nine this postseason.

Bieber’s stuff does not grade out as highly as it used to, but he is still capable of being an effective pitcher if he has strong command of his five-pitch mix.

Ohtani will be pitching for the first time since his astonishing three-home-run, 10-strikeout performance versus the Milwaukee Brewers in the NLCS. His arm will certainly be well-rested as a result, but it’s possible that he will be a little fatigued after Monday’s matchup, in which he reportedly needed an IV to help handle cramping.

In a small sample of 47 innings, Ohtani pitched at an extremely high level during the regular season. He owned an xERA of 2.45, struck out 11.87 batters per nine, and held a Pitching+ rating of 118.

Just as it was for the Blue Jays bullpen, Game 3 was arguably the most impressive performance of the postseason for the Dodgers’ relief staff. However, their relievers certainly benefited from all of Schneider’s in-game decisions, which left the Blue Jays with a horrid lineup.

The Dodgers finished Game 3 with an xBA of .238 and now hold an expected weighted on-base average of .343 this postseason. They were the third most effective team versus right-handed pitching this season and, as noted yesterday, had considerably better results at home with a wRC+ of 125.

The Blue Jays have fared extremely well versus elite pitching this year, and Yamamoto is the only elite arm that has truly handled them well during this postseason. Ohtani has been pitching extremely well recently, but he is getting a ton of credit from oddsmakers entering this matchup, given how well the Blue Jays continue to fare in difficult matchups.

Bieber’s postseason form has not been entirely convincing, and he will need excellent command and strong sequencing to find success in this difficult matchup, given that his stuff is not what it used to be.

Both bullpens authored much better showings on Monday evening, but that has obviously left them both withered and depleted, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see either side blow this one open late.

For -110, I see value in backing both teams to score at least three runs in this matchup.

Following a split on my last two guides (both backing the over), these articles are up 7.6 units this season and hold a record of 22-17-1 this season