MLB betting preview (Aug. 26): Twins vs. Blue Jays predictions

Minnesota Twins right fielder Matt Wallner (38) reacts after hitting a fly ball to the Toronto Blue Jays during the eighth inning at Rogers Centre.

Photo credit: John E. Sokolowski-Imagn Images

Aug 26, 2025, 13:00 EDTUpdated: Aug 26, 2025, 12:17 EDT

The Toronto Blue Jays will be looking for their fourth win in five games when they continue their series with the Minnesota Twins at Rogers Centre on Tuesday evening.

Toronto cruised to a 10-4 victory in the series opener Monday, improving to 30-9 in its last 40 games at home.

Minnesota has now lost three straight games and nine of its last 11.

Let’s take a look at the game odds for Tuesday’s clash between the Twins and Blue Jays, courtesy of bet365.

Twins vs. Blue Jays odds

Twins moneyline odds	+135
Blue Jays moneyline odds	-160
Runline odds	Blue Jays -1.5 (+125), Twins +1.5 (-150)
Game total	Over 8.5 runs (-115), Under 8.5 (-105)
Date/time	Aug. 26, 7:07 p.m. ET

About the Twins (59-72 SU, 64-67 ATS, 57-68-6 o/u)

The Twins scored an efficient four runs on five hits Monday, but they’ve struggled offensively all season long, averaging just 4.13 runs per game (23rd in majors).

Outfielder Matt Wallner had a big game in the series opener, swatting a pair of home runs in the loss. Bettors should consider backing him to stay hot on Tuesday, as he’s 3-for-3 with a home run in his career against Toronto’s projected starting pitcher, Chris Bassitt, in addition to homering in two consecutive games overall.

About the Blue Jays (77-55 SU, 77-55 ATS, 72-55-5 o/u)

The Blue Jays exploded for 10 runs on Monday, touching up one of the elite pitchers in the AL, Joe Ryan, for six runs on seven hits over five innings. Both Alejandro Kirk and Andres Gimenez homered for Toronto, and starting pitcher Max Scherzer tossed six solid innings to help preserve the bullpen for Tuesday’s matchup.

The Blue Jays are now averaging a hearty 5.34 runs per game this season at Rogers Centre, where the team is slashing an impressive .271/.342/.451 with a .793 OPS. Only the Los Angeles Dodgers have averaged more runs at home (5.74) than Toronto this season.

Probable starting pitchers

Minnesota: RHP Bailey Ober (4-7, 5.05 ERA, 7.34 K/9)

Ober owns a respectable 4.09 ERA through four starts this month, but he’s really struggled on the road this season, posting a 2-3 record with a 5.89 ERA while allowing opponents to hit a lofty .310 against him in nine away starts. Toronto tallied five runs on five hits over seven innings against the righty in Minnesota back in early June. Ober is an imposing figure on the mound, standing at six-foot-nine, and he ranks in the 98th percentile in extension. He also boasts an elite chase rate (33.7%) and walk rate (5.1%).

Toronto: RHP Chris Bassitt (11-7, 4.18 ERA, 8.85 K/9)

Bassitt has been solid this month, allowing three runs or less in each of his four August starts. He’s also been remarkable at home this season, boasting a perfect 8-0 record with a 2.73 ERA across 14 starts at Rogers Centre. He’ll be making his first start against the Twins this season.

Notable injuries

Pitcher Pablo Lopez (shoulder), outfielder Alan Roden (thumb), catcher Christian Vazquez (shoulder), and pitcher Simeon Woods Richardson (illness) are on the injured list for Minnesota.

Outfielder Anthony Santander (shoulder), pitcher Yimi Garcia (elbow), pitcher Bowden Francis (shoulder), and pitcher Alek Manoah (elbow) are on the IL for Toronto.

Weather

Forecasts are calling for temperatures around 17 C with a 40% chance of rain this evening in Toronto. Winds will blow in from left field at 12 mph if the retractable is open.

Twins vs. Blue Jays betting trends

The over is 4-0 in the previous four meetings between these teams this season.
The Blue Jays have the best home record on the runline (41-23) in the majors.
The Twins have hit the team total under in 40 of their last 67 away games.
The over is 7-2-1 in Toronto’s last 10 games.
Toronto is 57-3 this season when it scores five or more runs.

Twins vs. Blue Jays player prop trends

Bassitt has walked two or more batters in each of his last four starts and is -150 to walk over 1.5.
Bo Bichette has recorded over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs in 10 straight games and 17 of his last 20. He’s around 150 to clear that mark again.
Wallner has homered in back-to-back games and is +350 to go deep again on Tuesday.

Twins vs. Blue Jays best bets

Bo Bichette over 0.5 runs scored: +115 for one unit (best odds @ bet365). We cashed in on this prop Monday night at +125 odds, and we’re still getting great plus-money value on an encore performance Tuesday. Bichette, who owns a .451 on-base percentage over the last 30 days and a ridiculous .556 OBP over the last seven, has cleared this mark in four straight games, seven of his last 10, and 14 of his last 20.
Matt Wallner over 0.5 walks: +135 for one unit (best odds @ bet365). Wallner ranks in the 84th percentile in the majors in walk rate (11.9%), and you can bet Bassitt will be pitching him very carefully on Tuesday night after the Twins outfielder bombed a pair of homers on Monday to increase his tally to three in the last two games. As previously mentioned, Wallner is also a perfect 3-for-3 in his career with a home run against Bassitt, so there’s even more incentive to not give him anything to hit right now. You could also back Wallner to remain hot and pick up a hit at -118 odds (Sports Interaction).