logo
MLB Betting Preview (June 26): Blue Jays vs. Red Sox predictions
Toronto Blue Jays second baseman Spencer Horwitz (48) and center fielder Kevin Kiermaier (39) celebrate with right fielder George Springer (4) after scoring runs against the Boston Red Sox during the fourth inning at Fenway Park
Photo credit: Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports
Greg Warren
Jun 26, 2024, 10:00 EDTUpdated: Jun 26, 2024, 10:16 EDT
The Toronto Blue Jays will play the rubber match of a three-game series with the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday after snapping a seven-game losing streak with a dominant 9-4 victory on Tuesday at Fenway Park.
Toronto erupted for seven runs in the third inning on Tuesday to pull away, and its shaky bullpen combined to throw three scoreless innings to lock down the victory.
Boston will by vying for its fifth straight series win on Wednesday as it clings to the final American League wild-card spot with a half-game lead over the Kansas City Royals.
Let’s dive into the game odds for Wednesday’s series finale between the Blue Jays and Red Sox courtesy of bet365:

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds

Blue Jays Moneyline Odds
+125
Red Sox Moneyline Odds
-150
Runline Odds
Red Sox -1.5 (+140), Blue Jays +1.5 (-165)
Over/Under
Over 9.5 runs (-110), Under 9.5 runs (-110)
Time/Date
June 26, 7:10 p.m. ET
TV
Broadcast: Sportsnet, Sportsnet+

Betting Toronto Blue Jays (36-43 SU, 39-40 ATS, 35-41-3 o/u)

The Blue Jays have put up 15 runs over the first two games of this series at Fenway Park and that’s a good sign for a club that has largely struggled at the plate this season, averaging just 3.9 runs per game.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is crushing the ball right now, recording two hits and four RBIs in Tuesday’s rout. Vladdy has put together three straight multi-hit games and he loves hitting at Fenway Park, where he owns a career .348/.429/.627 slash line with 10 homers and 41 RBIs in 41 games.
The Blue Jays were also bolstered by the return of Bo Bichette from a calf injury on Tuesday. He went 0-for-4 but did walk and score a run. If the Blue Jays are to turn things around offensively this season, Bichette will have to snap out of his season-long funk and produce at a high level the rest of the way.

Betting Boston Red Sox (43-37 SU, 36-44 ATS, 37-38-5 o/u)

The Red Sox have largely exceeded expectations this season, but defence continues to haunt them. They committed three errors in Tuesday’s lopsided loss to bring their MLB-leading total to 62 on the season. Boston’s .979 fielding percentage also ranks last in the majors.
On a more positive note, their sluggers keep on slugging. Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill both launched their 16th home runs of the season on Tuesday. The duo has combined for eight home runs (three from Devers and five from O’Neill) in five games against Toronto this season.
Outfielder Jarren Duran went hitless on Tuesday, halting his hitting streak at 14 games. He’s slashing .375/.430/.615 this month.

Probable starting pitchers

Toronto: RHP Yariel Rodriguez (0-2, 5.94 ERA, 9.18 K/9, 1.92 WHIP)
Rodriguez has battled injuries all season and is coming off a miserable outing against the Cleveland Guardians. The right-hander lasted just 1 1/3 innings while giving up five runs – four earned – on just 52 pitches. It was his first start since coming off the injured list with a back issue. Opposing batters are hitting a juicy .368 against his four-seamer this season, but his slider has been his best pitch with a 30.8% whiff rate. Rodriguez, an MLB rookie, has never faced the Red Sox, so he’ll have the element of surprise on Wednesday night.
Boston: RHP Kutter Crawford (3-7, 3.59 ERA, 9.23 K/9, 1.14 WHIP)
Crawford has just one win in his last nine starts after starting hot with a 1.65 ERA in April. More troubling is the fact that he’s coughed up at least one home run in seven straight starts and nine of his last 10 after not surrendering a long ball in his first six outings of the campaign. The righty is coming off a mediocre start against the Cincinnati Reds, when he allowed three earned runs on five hits over 6 1/3 innings.

Weather

Weather could play a factor in this one as forecasters are projecting an 80% chance of thunderstorms in Boston on Wednesday evening. It’ll be hot and muggy with winds blowing out to centre field at 10 mph.

MLB betting trends

  • The Red Sox are 4-1 SU, and 2-3 ATS in five games against Toronto this season.
  • The Red Sox are just 14-26 ATS in 40 games at Fenway Park this season.
  • The over is 7-3 in Boston’s last 10 games.
  • Toronto is 22-20 ATS in its 42 road games this season.

MLB player prop trends

  • Crawford has recorded five or more strikeouts in five straight games and nine of his last 10. He’s roughly -150 to record over 4.5 strikeouts depending on the online sportsbook.
  • Blue Jays third baseman Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit safely in 10 straight games. He’s around -250 to record a hit.
  • Devers has homered in back-to-back games against the Blue Jays. He’s around +265 to go deep again.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox predictions

  • Oddsmakers have set the total high at 9.5 runs for this one, so they’re expecting some offensive fireworks. It’s hard not to back Guerrero Jr. on Wednesday considering his track record at Fenway Park and his career numbers against Crawford (.444 average, .888 OPS in nine career at-bats). You can grab him to record over 1.5 total bases for around -135 and he might also be worth a look to drive in a run at around +120 odds.
  • Blue Jays moneyline. If you shop around at a few online sportsbooks, you can get the Jays at around +135 odds to win this one outright. Toronto really needs this game to start building some momentum with a series win, especially heading into a four-game series with the AL East-leading New York Yankees beginning Thursday. The bats are hot, and Crawford is very susceptible to the long ball. I’d also take a look at Toronto’s team total over 4.5 runs in this spot at around even-money odds.

Breaking News