Forty-three games into the season (just past the 25% mark), the Blue Jays aren’t exactly where they should be as a team with aspirations for playoff contention. Overall, the team struggled to stay above .500 and fell below the mark after losing the three-game series to the Tampa Bay Rays at home. This isn’t unfamiliar territory for the Blue Jays because they were here before in a way last year. 
Rewinding the tape to the last season, Toronto was slowly losing hope as the team kept losing edge to its division rivals as the summer wore on. This season has a slightly less despondent outlook because while the American League East has been bafflingly mediocre, the American League Central has come out as one of the more competitive divisions. The Blue Jays still technically have a chance to compete for a playoff spot &#8211; it&#8217;s still early in the year. But here’s the not-so-great news: the current season statistics aren’t exactly that different from last year.
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Below are a few numbers from both the <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&amp;stats=bat&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=y&amp;type=0&amp;season=2024&amp;month=1000&amp;season1=2024&amp;ind=0&amp;team=0%2Cts&amp;startdate=2024-03-01&amp;enddate=2024-05-17&amp;sortcol=1&amp;sortdir=default&amp;pagenum=1">2024</a> and <a href="https://www.mlb.com/stats/team/stolen-bases">2025</a> seasons that shed light on how the Blue Jays have fared after 42 games into the year. 
The Record: 19-24 and 21-22
In 2024, the Blue Jays showed their mediocrity relatively quickly as the team’s offence struggled from the jump. Toronto sank below .500 that season when they visited the Kansas City Royals for a four-game road trip and never really recovered, even when they reached the 43-game mark. They flirted with the .500 level a week later when the Royals were in town, but things never really improved from there. 
Thankfully, the Blue Jays have seen both sides of their record, showing some glimmer of hope. At one point early in the year, the Jays were even leading the division. While Toronto may have outperformed its projection so far, this winning percentage <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6354731/2025/05/14/six-blue-jays-numbers/">functions</a> more as a forecast for the team’s future performance. There might be more storms ahead for the Blue Jays if that is the case, and unless they somehow flip the switch and become white-hot, that .500 record may begin to slip.
The Power: 36 home runs / 38 home runs
The Blue Jays are no longer a home run leader and haven’t been for the past couple of seasons. That hasn’t changed much this season either, and they are almost putting up similar power numbers compared to last year.
 Toronto was at the bottom of the home run rankings and only hit 156 home runs in 2024 – that’s compared to the <a href="https://www.foxsports.com/mlb/team-stats?category=batting&amp;sort=hr&amp;season=2024&amp;seasonType=reg&amp;sortOrder=desc">New York Yankees</a>, who hit the most home runs that season with 237 home runs. The Blue Jays’ home run trajectory isn’t looking that great this season, with 38 home runs after 43 games, which is only three more than last season and doesn&#8217;t include the signing of Anthony Santander, who was supposed to help with this issue.
Once again, the Yankees are leading the home run chart with 76 home runs at this time – that’s exactly two times more than what Toronto accumulated. With all that, the home run stats aren’t projected to make a skyrocketing gain in offensive metrics anytime soon. Toronto’s OPS is more or less similar in 2024 and 2025 as well (.661 vs. .703), which doesn’t bode well, barring any miraculous turns.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="550" data-dnt="true">
Nathan Lukes is now hitting .273 with a 135 wRC+ 👏 <a href="https://t.co/YhkSzaU5sj">pic.twitter.com/YhkSzaU5sj</a>
&mdash; Toronto Blue Jays (@BlueJays) <a href="https://twitter.com/BlueJays/status/1923127296363258087?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">May 15, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
The Pitching: 4.49 ERA / 4.40 ERA
Toronto’s pitching hasn’t been the sharpest either this season as a whole, although a few arms did get off to a hot start but have since cooled off as of late. It resembles similar numbers out of the gate compared to last season, which doesn’t spell out the best projection. 
At the start of the 2025 season, pitchers in the rotation and the relief corps were performing at their best. Chris Bassitt and Kevin Gausman showed the best versions of themselves, while Yimi Garcia, Brendon Little, and Jeff Hoffman were nails out of the pen. But all good things must come to an end. Both starting and relief pitching took a step back, and their respective ERAs have collectively ballooned. Hoffman’s mark is now at 6.05 after giving up a grand slam to the Tampa Bay Rays’ young phenom Junior Caminero, for example. Bowden Francis and his 5.40 ERA isn&#8217;t helping matters either. The only pitchers still putting up solid numbers at this point include Bassitt, Little, Garcia, Chad Green, and Mason Fluharty. In all fairness, this pitching group hasn&#8217;t been getting consistent run support from the lineup–it was going to be impossible for pitching to keep up with its pristine record when the offence wasn’t coming through. 
The Blue Jays aren’t in the most ideal situation when it comes to their depth, with Alek Manoah and Max Scherzer still very much on the sidelines. This awkward pitching situation will probably continue to plague the team unless there are unlikely rising stars helping to rack up wins. 
On the Base Paths: 26 stolen bases / 27 stolen bases
Even though the Blue Jays were aiming to create more havoc on the basepaths this season with additions like Andres Gimenez, their stolen base numbers haven’t gone up by much this season compared to 2024 (26 in 2024 and 27 in 2025).
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="550" data-dnt="true">
Congratulations to Andrés Giménez on recording his 100th Career <a href="https://twitter.com/MLB?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@MLB</a> Stolen Base &#8211; and his first as a Blue Jay! <a href="https://t.co/sR8N5dSbjj">pic.twitter.com/sR8N5dSbjj</a>
&mdash; Toronto Blue Jays (@BlueJays) <a href="https://twitter.com/BlueJays/status/1907197903971688911?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 1, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
The Blue Jays have stolen 27 bases this year, ranking at #22 in the big leagues, which is less than half of the current stolen base leader in the Milwaukee Brewers (56). Toronto was never going to steal many bases given their current roster construction, who aren’t exactly known for their speed. Stolen bases may not be the best indicator of how well a team will do in their playoff contention, but it certainly gives teams an edge in ways of distracting their opponents. There may be some fun Vladdy’s stolen base attempts, but he’s not on his way to becoming the Blue Jays’ Chandler Simpson this season. 
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Forty-three games into the season (just past the 25% mark), the Blue Jays aren’t exactly where they should be as a team with aspirations for playoff contention. Overall, the team struggled to stay above .500 and fell below the mark after losing the three-game series to the Tampa Bay Rays at home. This isn’t unfamiliar territory for the Blue Jays because they were here before in a way last year. 

Rewinding the tape to the last season, Toronto was slowly losing hope as the team kept losing edge to its division rivals as the summer wore on. This season has a slightly less despondent outlook because while the American League East has been bafflingly mediocre, the American League Central has come out as one of the more competitive divisions. The Blue Jays still technically have a chance to compete for a playoff spot - it's still early in the year. But here’s the not-so-great news: the current season statistics aren’t exactly that different from last year.
<div class="bam-inline-promotion" data-property-id="330" data-promotion-id="18983" data-context="“web-content-promocard&quot;"></div>
Below are a few numbers from both the <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&amp;stats=bat&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=y&amp;type=0&amp;season=2024&amp;month=1000&amp;season1=2024&amp;ind=0&amp;team=0%2Cts&amp;startdate=2024-03-01&amp;enddate=2024-05-17&amp;sortcol=1&amp;sortdir=default&amp;pagenum=1">2024</a> and <a href="https://www.mlb.com/stats/team/stolen-bases">2025</a> seasons that shed light on how the Blue Jays have fared after 42 games into the year. 

The Record: 19-24 and 21-22

In 2024, the Blue Jays showed their mediocrity relatively quickly as the team’s offence struggled from the jump. Toronto sank below .500 that season when they visited the Kansas City Royals for a four-game road trip and never really recovered, even when they reached the 43-game mark. They flirted with the .500 level a week later when the Royals were in town, but things never really improved from there. 

Thankfully, the Blue Jays have seen both sides of their record, showing some glimmer of hope. At one point early in the year, the Jays were even leading the division. While Toronto may have outperformed its projection so far, this winning percentage <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6354731/2025/05/14/six-blue-jays-numbers/">functions</a> more as a forecast for the team’s future performance. There might be more storms ahead for the Blue Jays if that is the case, and unless they somehow flip the switch and become white-hot, that .500 record may begin to slip.

The Power: 36 home runs / 38 home runs

The Blue Jays are no longer a home run leader and haven’t been for the past couple of seasons. That hasn’t changed much this season either, and they are almost putting up similar power numbers compared to last year.

 Toronto was at the bottom of the home run rankings and only hit 156 home runs in 2024 – that’s compared to the <a href="https://www.foxsports.com/mlb/team-stats?category=batting&amp;sort=hr&amp;season=2024&amp;seasonType=reg&amp;sortOrder=desc">New York Yankees</a>, who hit the most home runs that season with 237 home runs. The Blue Jays’ home run trajectory isn’t looking that great this season, with 38 home runs after 43 games, which is only three more than last season and doesn't include the signing of Anthony Santander, who was supposed to help with this issue.

Once again, the Yankees are leading the home run chart with 76 home runs at this time – that’s exactly two times more than what Toronto accumulated. With all that, the home run stats aren’t projected to make a skyrocketing gain in offensive metrics anytime soon. Toronto’s OPS is more or less similar in 2024 and 2025 as well (.661 vs. .703), which doesn’t bode well, barring any miraculous turns.

https://twitter.com/BlueJays/status/1923127296363258087

The Pitching: 4.49 ERA / 4.40 ERA

Toronto’s pitching hasn’t been the sharpest either this season as a whole, although a few arms did get off to a hot start but have since cooled off as of late. It resembles similar numbers out of the gate compared to last season, which doesn’t spell out the best projection. 

At the start of the 2025 season, pitchers in the rotation and the relief corps were performing at their best. Chris Bassitt and Kevin Gausman showed the best versions of themselves, while Yimi Garcia, Brendon Little, and Jeff Hoffman were nails out of the pen. But all good things must come to an end. Both starting and relief pitching took a step back, and their respective ERAs have collectively ballooned. Hoffman’s mark is now at 6.05 after giving up a grand slam to the Tampa Bay Rays’ young phenom Junior Caminero, for example. Bowden Francis and his 5.40 ERA isn't helping matters either. The only pitchers still putting up solid numbers at this point include Bassitt, Little, Garcia, Chad Green, and Mason Fluharty. In all fairness, this pitching group hasn't been getting consistent run support from the lineup–it was going to be impossible for pitching to keep up with its pristine record when the offence wasn’t coming through. 

The Blue Jays aren’t in the most ideal situation when it comes to their depth, with Alek Manoah and Max Scherzer still very much on the sidelines. This awkward pitching situation will probably continue to plague the team unless there are unlikely rising stars helping to rack up wins. 

On the Base Paths: 26 stolen bases / 27 stolen bases

Even though the Blue Jays were aiming to create more havoc on the basepaths this season with additions like Andres Gimenez, their stolen base numbers haven’t gone up by much this season compared to 2024 (26 in 2024 and 27 in 2025).

https://twitter.com/BlueJays/status/1907197903971688911

The Blue Jays have stolen 27 bases this year, ranking at #22 in the big leagues, which is less than half of the current stolen base leader in the Milwaukee Brewers (56). Toronto was never going to steal many bases given their current roster construction, who aren’t exactly known for their speed. Stolen bases may not be the best indicator of how well a team will do in their playoff contention, but it certainly gives teams an edge in ways of distracting their opponents. There may be some fun Vladdy’s stolen base attempts, but he’s not on his way to becoming the Blue Jays’ Chandler Simpson this season. 

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