Yariel Rodriguez has lowered his ERA by more than 1.6 runs since the start of May
Yariel Rodriguez is finding sucess in high leverage situations for the Blue Jays

Photo credit: © Dan Hamilton-Imagn Images
May 15, 2025, 14:00 EDTUpdated: May 15, 2025, 13:41 EDT
The Toronto Blue Jays committed the most money during the 2023/2024 offseason to right-hander Yariel Rodriguez, a right-handed Cuban product who inked a five-year, $32 million contract. He had pitched earlier that year with Team Cuba at the World Baseball Classic but didn’t pitch professionally all season long while awaiting clearance to be declared a Major League free agent. Previously, he spent the two prior campaigns with the Chunichi Dragons in Nippon Professional Baseball, Japan’s highest level, and was a mainstay in Cuba before taking his talents overseas.
The intrigue surrounding Rodriguez heading into 2024 was his role on the roster, with the right-hander reportedly signing with the Jays because he would be given a chance to start games compared to other interested clubs that intended to use him as a reliever. That was the case for Rodriguez in 2024, where he made 21 starts while working under a strict pitching limit per game, and was usually coupled with another reliever to eat up bulk innings. He also missed some time on the IL with a back injury and some time in the minor leagues to get up to speed after sitting for most of 2023.
For 2025, Rodriguez’s role has changed for the most part, with many believing that he would be suited for the long-man position in the Jays’ bullpen. Although the Jays stretched him out as a starter this spring, it was Bowden Francis who secured the last rotation spot, and even when Max Scherzer landed on the IL early in the year, the Blue Jays have pivoted to other arms to make starts in his absence outside of one outing back on April 30th against the Red Sox, where he pitched one inning to mixed results. Instead, the 27-year-old has found more success in high-leverage spots late in the game, with yesterday being another solid outing for the Jays pitcher.
“He’s responded really well,” said manager John Schneider following last night’s win against the Rays. “On the days where Hoffman is down, you need to have guys step up, and he seems to like those situations… Pretty high trust factor with him… His stuff is consistent, and he made big pitches there.”
So far this year, Rodriguez has pitched the first inning and then the sixth through ninth innings on a variety of occasions, and the stats are trending in a positive light in one area than the other. He also pitched two innings past the allotted nine, again to strong results.
| Split | G | IP | ER | ERA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | BA | OBP | SLG | OPS | BAbip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st inning | 1 | 1.0 | 2 | 18.00 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .500 | .667 | 1.500 | 2.167 | .500 |
| 6th inning | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | .400 | .000 | .400 | .000 |
| 7th inning | 9 | 6.1 | 3 | 4.26 | 24 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | .292 | .280 | .542 | .822 | .353 |
| 8th inning | 9 | 8.1 | 3 | 3.24 | 29 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | .172 | .273 | .379 | .652 | .176 |
| 9th inning | 3 | 1.1 | 1 | 6.75 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .200 | .200 | .200 | .400 | .333 |
| Ext inning | 1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | .000 | .286 | .000 | .286 | .000 |
| Innings 1-3 | 1 | 1.0 | 2 | 18.00 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .500 | .667 | 1.500 | 2.167 | .500 |
| Innings 4-6 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | .400 | .000 | .400 | .000 |
| Innings 7-9 | 15 | 16.0 | 7 | 3.94 | 58 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 19 | .224 | .270 | .431 | .701 | .270 |
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Looking at the table above, you can see that Rodriguez struggled in his only outing in the first inning, where the Red Sox tagged him for two runs thanks to a double and a home run. He also walked two and struck out one, so the damage was limited to some regard, but still, not the prettiest outing.
Further down the innings chart, Rodriguez sees improved stats through the seventh and eighth innings, which is where he boasts the most amount of work (14 2/3 innings total). Combined, this works to a 3.68 ERA with six earned runs allowed through 53 at-bats. He’s allowed just 12 hits in the span and three walks while striking out 17. He’s also limited the batting averages to .292 and .172, respectively, with his OPS elevated in the seventh inning category because of the three doubles and one home run he’s allowed. Again, this hasn’t translated into too many runs against for him, so he’s limiting that damage. His work in the ninth inning has been limited with Yimi Garcia and Jeff Hoffman in the bullpen, and although his ERA is elevated (similar to his lone first-inning affair), he’s allowed just the one hit through five at-bats and 1 1/3 innings.
Using Baseball Reference’s leverage table, Rodriguez continues to support this trend.
In high-leverage spots, Rodriguez has held hitters to just one run and two hits with a .125 average and a .375 OPS through 16 at-bats. For a situation to be considered high leverage, the Leverage Index Value needs to be over 1.5, such as situations where the win probability changes based on the at-bat, such as having runners in scoring position in a tight game.
Rodriguez has thrived under these situations compared to lower leverage opportunities, where he’s allowed six out of the eight runs this season, and opponents are boasting a .965 OPS off of him. The sample size is larger in the low leverage spots compared to the medium and high leverage spots, so the data comparison isn’t perfect, but for Rodriguez’s numbers to be so limited through 16 at-bats is impressive work.
For example, last night, Rodriguez entered the game in the eighth inning with a two-run lead, and he got one of the Rays’ top bats in Jonathan Aranda to ground out while pitching a clean inning, including a strikeout against Kameron Misner. Another example is his April 19th outing against the Seattle Mariners, where he pitched two innings in extras and didn’t allow a single earned run, even with the runner starting on second in both innings. He struck out two, got the Mariners to ground into a double play, and also generated a flyout and a groundout to get through his work before Jacob Barnes allowed the Rowdy Tellez grand slam in the top of the 12th, sending Mariners fans home happy.
Overall, the trend seems to support that Rodriguez thrives more in these situations, something Schneider acknowledges.
While the Jays may need some length in the open starter’s spot until Scherzer is healthy, it appears Eric Lauer and Jose Urena will continue to split the work, or another outside option may be getting some consideration over Rodriguez. Considering the metrics this season, that might not be such a bad idea.
Celebrate Vladdy’s big news in style with the exclusive new BlueJaysNation Vladdy merch — available only at NationGear.ca! Rep a future Hall of Famer and wear your team’s pride loud. Limited drop. Don’t miss out.
Breaking News
- Kevin Gausman drops stellar Game 2 pitching duel to Yoshinobu Yamamoto
- Blue Jays GDB – World Series Game 2: Kevin Gausman looks to extend Toronto’s series lead
- World Series preview: How the Blue Jays match up against Yoshinobu Yamamoto
- MLB betting preview (Oct. 25): Dodgers vs. Blue Jays World Series Game 2 predictions
- 3 Dodgers X-factors the Blue Jays will need to contain in the World Series

