Angels vs Blue Jays 08/10/21 – Odds and MLB Betting Trends

The Toronto Blue Jays will try to transfer their tendency of pouncing on subpar starting pitching to a park they have not visited in two seasons. The Blue Jays are -150 favorites against the +130 underdog Los Angeles Angels with a 7.5-run total on the MLB odds for Tuesday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. Toronto is designated as the home team for the first game of the doubleheader. They are a -145 away favorite in the second matchup, while the Angels are coming back at +125 with a 7.5-run total.

The Blue Jays are 15-7 in their last 22 games against teams whose starting pitcher ERA, like Los Angeles’s, is ranked 20th or lower in MLB. Only nine of those games went OVER (how the OVER/UNDER works). They are 12-5 in their last 17 games as away favorites, with the total going OVER in nine of those matchups. The Angels are 5-6 in their last 11 matchups as an underdog at home, with five of the last six finishing UNDER. They are 8-12 in their last 20 home games against AL East teams, with the OVER hitting 12 times at betting sites.

The Blue Jays’ 60-50 record includes a 15-8 mark since the all-star break. They are MLB’s third-highest scoring team (5.19 runs per game) and rank first in OPS (.786). Since the break, George Springer (1.235 OPS since July 16), Teoscar Hernández (.935) and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (.888) have been Toronto’s three most prolific hitters.

On the mound, Toronto is ninth in starting pitcher ERA (3.77) and 15th in reliever ERA (4.01). The Blue Jays are sixth in ERA (3.40) since the all-star break.

The Angels’ 56-56 record includes an 11-12 mark since the all-star break. They are 12th in MLB in both runs per game (4.63) and OPS (.740). Since the break, Jack Mayfield (.926 OPS), Max Stassi (.901) and Shohei Ohtani (.818) have been Los Angeles’ top three hitters.

On the mound, Los Angeles is 22nd in starting pitcher ERA (4.72) and 21st in reliever ERA (4.63). However, they have the 10th-best ERA (3.83) since July 16.

Lefthander Steven Matz (9-6, 4.30 ERA, 9.2  strikeouts per nine innings) will start for the Blue Jays in Tuesday’s first matchup. Rookie righthander Chris Rodriguez (2-1, 3.86 ERA, 9.5 SO/9) will make his second MLB start for the Angels. While this is officially a Blue Jays home game, the Blue Jays are 1-4 in Matz’s last five away starts and the total has gone UNDER in 10 of his last 15 starts in away ballparks.

Righthander Ross Stripling (5-6, 4.43 ERA, 9.0 SO/9) will start for the Blue Jays in Tuesday’s second matchup opposite lefthander José Suarez (5-4, 3.60 ERA, 8.5 SO/9). Stripling has a 5.24 ERA in 22.1 innings against the Angels, but his teams are 8-3 in his last 11 starts on the road when they were favored. Six of those matchups also finished UNDER. Suarez has a 9.00 ERA in five career innings against Toronto, and the Angels are 0-4 as a home underdog when he starts.

Rookie righthander Alek Manoah (4-1, 2.58 ERA, 10.3 SO/9) will face Los Angeles for the first time on Wednesday, while the Angels will start righthander Dylan Bundy (2-8, 6.14 ERA, 8.5 SO/9). The Blue Jays are 7-3 when Manoah starts, and three of his last four starts have finished OVER. Bundy has a 3.07 ERA against Toronto in 70.1 career innings. The Angels are 3-5 in his home starts this season, and 10 of his last 15 starts at home have finished OVER.

Righthander José Berríos (8-5, 3.23 ERA, 9.4 SO/9) will start on Thursday opposite righthander Shohei Ohtani (6-1, 2.93 ERA, 11.1 SO/9). Berríos, who has a career 4.66 ERA against the Angels (29 innings), has had the total go OVER in five of his last seven starts on the road. Ohtani, who is pitching against Toronto for the first time, has helped the Angels go 6-3 in his home starts this season, but three of the last four have finished OVER.

The Blue Jays will continue their nine-game road trip with a three-game set against the Seattle Mariners that begins on Friday.