Blue Jays vs Red Sox 06/11/21 – Odds and MLB Betting Trends

The Toronto Blue Jays have their most reliable starter of late on the mound as they go into a road environment where they have had some modest success. The Blue Jays are +115 away underdogs and the Boston Red Sox are -133 home favorites with a 9.5-run total on the betting lines for Friday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

The Blue Jays are 6-6 in their last 12 games as an away underdog against the Red Sox. They are also 7-4 in their last 11 games as an away underdog, with the total going UNDER at betting sites in just four of the games. The Red Sox are 6-4 in their last 10 games as a home favorite, with the total going UNDER six times (how the OVER/UNDER works).

The Blue Jays, who are 31-29 this season, are eighth out of the 30 MLB teams with 4.85 runs scored per game. They are second in OPS at .755. On the pitching side, the Blue Jays are 14th in earned-run average (4.02), and their relievers rank 12th (3.74).

The Red Sox, who are 38-25, are MLB’s third-highest scoring team at 5.00 runs per game. They are also third in OPS at .752. On the pitching side, the Red Sox rank 13th in ERA (4.00), with their relievers ranking seventh (3.53).

Blue Jays righthander Ross Stripling (2-3, 4.71 ERA, 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings) will start opposite righty Garrett Richards (4-4, 3.88 ERA, 8.0 SO/9) in Friday’s matchup. Stripling has a 1.06 ERA across his past three starts, and his teams are 4-2 in his last six away-underdog starts. Richards has a 5.10 ERA in 47.2 career innings against the Blue Jays, and his teams are 6-4 in his last 10 home-favorite starts.

Lefthander Steven Matz (6-3, 4.50 ERA, 9.4 SO/9) will start opposite righty Nick Pivetta (6-1, 3.78 ERA, 10.4 SO/9) on Saturday. Matz has struggled to be consistent, but the Blue Jays are 5-2 in his away starts this season, with the OVER hitting in four of the last five. Pivetta has a 5.94 ERA in 16.2 innings against Toronto, but the Red Sox are 7-1 in his last eight starts even though the OVER has hit six times.

Sunday’s matchup involves two lefty starters with Robbie Ray (3-2, 3.36 ERA, 11.5 SO/9) opposing Boston’s Martín Pérez (4-3, 3.88 ERA, 8.1  SO/9). Ray is coming off a 13-strikeout game on June 8, but his teams are 4-8 in his last 12 starts on the road. Pérez has a 2.26 ERA in 41 innings against Toronto, and Boston is 4-3 in his last seven starts at home with the total going UNDER four times.

Rookie righthander Alex Manoah (1-0, 3.14 ERA, 10.0 SO/9) will start opposite righty Nathan Eovaldi (7-3, 4.11 ERA, 8.7 SO/9) on Monday. The Blue Jays are 3-0 in Manoah’s last three starts. The Red Sox are 4-5 in Eovaldi’s last nine starts at home with the OVER hitting six times. He has a 4.26 ERA in 38 career innings against Toronto.