Nationals vs Blue Jays 04/27/21 – Odds and MLB Betting Trends
3 years ago
by OddsShark (@OddsShark) – Sponsored Post
The Toronto Blue Jays’ flailing offensive lineup has to contend with Max Scherzer on Tuesday, but overall they have held their own against NL East teams. The Blue Jays are +115 home underdogs with the Washington Nationals coming back as -135 away favorites with an 8.5-run total for Tuesday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com (how the moneyline works).
The Blue Jays are 7-5 in their last 12 home games as a +115 to +145 underdog, with the total finishing UNDER eight times. Toronto is 11-9 over its last 20 home games against NL East teams, with the OVER hitting 14 times. The Nationals are 6-5 in their last 11 games as a favorite on the road, with the total going OVER six times. Washington is also 6-14 in their last 20 away games against AL East competition, with the OVER hitting 12 times.
Nationals vs Blue Jays | OddsShark Matchup Report
The Nationals, who are 8-11, are missing a key hitter, leftfielder Juan Soto (shoulder strain). Washington is scoring only 3.26 per runs per game and ranks 25th out of the 30 MLB teams with a .664 OPS (.308 on-base / .356 slugging percentage). The Nationals pitching staff is also 21st in team earned-run average at 4.42, with the relievers ranking 10th with a collective 3.86.
The Blue Jays, who are 10-11, are averaging 3.95 runs per game and rank 28th with a .660 OPS (.297 / .363). Despite injuries, Toronto ranks fourth in ERA at 3.04 and the bullpen has recorded an MLB-best 2.10 ERA.
Righthander Trent Thornton (0-0, 1.86 ERA, 5.6 strikeouts per nine innings), who has mostly worked in relief this season, will start for Toronto on Tuesday opposite the aforementioned Scherzer (1-1, 1.80 ERA, 11.4 SO/9). Thornton has not been a full-time starter since 2019, but it is worth noting that the Blue Jays are 4-6 with the total going OVER seven times at sports betting sites in his last 10 home-underdog starts.
Scherzer has helped Washington go 7-3 in his last 10 starts when the Nationals were favored on the road, with the UNDER hitting seven times. Scherzer also has a 2.00 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 67.2 career innings against the Blue Jays.
Lefthander Steven Matz (4-0, 2.31 ERA, 9.6 SO/9) will start opposite Nationals righthander Erick Fedde (1-2, 5.51 ERA, .9.9 SO/9) in Wednesday’s matchup. The significant changes Matz has made with his use of his secondary pitches with Toronto will be put to the test against a familiar foe, as he was 1-7 with a 4.83 ERA in 76.1 career innings against the Nationals while with the New York Mets. Matz’s teams are 4-6 in his last 10 starts at home, with the past three finishing OVER. Washington is 6-4 in Fedde’s last 10 away starts, with the total finishing UNDER six times.
The Blue Jays have a scheduled off-day on Thursday before hosting a three-game series against the Atlanta Braves.
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