MLB betting preview (Aug. 6): Blue Jays vs. Rockies predictions
Photo credit: Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images
By Greg Warren
Aug 6, 2025, 10:23 EDT
The Toronto Blue Jays will look to complete a three-game sweep of the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on Wednesday afternoon.
Toronto had dropped two consecutive series to the Kansas City Royals and Baltimore Orioles leading up to this series but is now heating up, with wins in three of its last four games.
Colorado has dropped three straight contests and owns the worst record (30-83) in baseball.
Let’s take a look at the game odds for Wednesday’s clash between the Blue Jays and Rockies courtesy of bet365.
Blue Jays vs. Rockies odds
Blue Jays moneyline odds | -220 |
Rockies moneyline odds | +180 |
Runline odds | Blue Jays -1.5 (-150), Rockies +1.5 (+125) |
Game total | Over 11.5 runs (-110), Under 11.5 (-110) |
Date/time | Aug. 6, 3:10 p.m. ET |
About the Blue Jays (67-48 SU, 68-47 ATS, 62-49-4 o/u)
The Blue Jays enjoyed another offensive explosion against the lowly Rockies on Tuesday, putting up 10 runs on 14 hits after recording 15 runs on 25 hits in the series opener.
They went deep five times on Tuesday, with Daulton Varsho accounting for a pair of those homers. Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Nathan Lukes, and Addison Barger also homered.
Toronto enters this contest with a three-game lead over the Boston Red Sox for the top spot in the American League East.
About the Rockies (30-83 SU, 46-67 ATS, 49-60-4 o/u)
The Rockies have now allowed five homers in a game three times this season and at least three homers in three straight games. That ties the second-longest streak in franchise history and the longest since a four-game streak in 2024. Overall, only the Athletics have allowed more homers (165) than the Rockies (164).
Additionally, Rockies pitchers have a dreadful 9.47 ERA over their last 11 games.
Probable starting pitchers
Toronto: RHP Kevin Gausman (7-8, 3.99 ERA, 8.88 K/9)
After posting an impressive 2.51 ERA across five July starts, Gausman was touched up for five runs on six hits over six innings of work by the Kansas City Royals in his last start. He’s been much better on the road than at home this season, posting a 3.72 ERA while holding opponents to a microscopic .188 batting average away from Rogers Centre. Gausman hasn’t historically been bothered by the high altitude at Coors Field, where he owns a 2-1 record with a 3.95 ERA and 0.99 WHIP across five career starts at the venue.
Colorado: LHP Kyle Freeland (2-11, 5.26 ERA, 6.38 K/9)
Freeland was limited to just three innings and 40 pitches due to an illness the last time he took the hill against the Cleveland Guardians. And in his start before that, he was tagged for four home runs by the Baltimore Orioles. It’s been a nightmarish season for the southpaw, who is allowing right-handed hitters to slash a lofty .316/.356/.503 against him with an .859 OPS. Overall, his 5.20 xERA ranks in just the 10th percentile, and his .304 xBA in the 1st percentile. Opposing batters have a 46.5% hard-hit rate against him this season, which is among the worst pitchers in the league.
Notable injuries
Outfielder Anthony Santander (shoulder), pitcher Yimi Garcia (ankle/elbow), pitcher Shane Bieber (elbow), infielder Andres Gimenez (ankle), and outfielder George Springer (concussion) are all on the injured list for Toronto. Outfielder Joey Loperfido (knee) is day-to-day.
Designated hitter Kris Bryant (back), pitcher Anthony Senzatela (finger), and pitcher German Marquez (biceps) are on the IL for Colorado. Infielders Thiaro Estrada (hamstring) and Orlando Arcia (undisclosed) are considered day-to-day.
Weather
Forecasts are calling for temperatures around 35 C with cloudy skies. Winds will blow from left field to right field at 5 mph.
Blue Jays vs. Rockies betting trends
- The over is 8-2 in Toronto’s last 10 games.
- The over is 9-2 in Colorado’s last 11 games.
- Toronto owns the best record on the runline (68-47) in the American League.
- The Rockies have the worst home record (16-41) in baseball.
Blue Jays vs. Rockies player prop trends
- Freeland has struck out three batters or more in 14 of his last 20 starts, averaging 3.7 per game during that span. He’s -160 to record over 2.5 strikeouts.
- Jordan Beck has hit safely in five straight games and 15 of his last 20. He’s -200 to record a hit.
- Varsho has homered in back-to-back games and three of his last 10. He’s +340 to go deep on Wednesday.
- Bo Bichette is slashing an amazing .406/.447/.613 with a 1.061 OPS over the last 30 days.
Blue Jays vs. Rockies best bet
Kevin Gausman over 5.5 strikeouts: +131 for one unit (best odds @ Pinnacle). Gausman has beaten this number in three of his last five starts and in 13 of his 22 this season (59%), so we’re getting great value at +131 odds (43.2% implied odds) in this matchup. And the Rockies strike out an average of 9.56 times per game, which ranks second worst in baseball behind the Los Angeles Angels. Gausman should have no problem navigating Colorado’s weak lineup to pitch deep into this game while recording around a strikeout per inning. Most other online sportsbooks have Gausman’s over 5.5 strikeouts line priced at around +110 or shorter, so grabbing this mispriced market at Pinnacle is a shrewd play.