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MLB betting preview (June 13): Blue Jays vs. Phillies predictions
Toronto Blue Jays shortstop Bo Bichette (11) tags out Philadelphia Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto (10) at second base during the third inning at Rogers Centre.
Photo credit: Nick Turchiaro-Imagn Images
Greg Warren
Jun 13, 2025, 10:50 EDT
The Toronto Blue Jays will try to keep the good times rolling when they open a three-game series with the Phillies in Philadelphia on Friday night.
Toronto is fresh off a three-game sweep of the Cardinals in St. Louis and has won five consecutive series. It has won 12 of its last 14 games to pull within 4.5 games of the New York Yankees for top spot in the American League East and sit comfortably in the AL’s top wild-card spot.
The Phillies took two of three from the Chicago Cubs earlier this week after dropping three consecutive series to the Pittsburgh Pirates, Blue Jays, and Milwaukee Brewers. They’re currently sitting in the second National League wild-card spot and trail the New York Mets by 5.5 games in the NL East.
Both of these teams will be fresh after having Thursday off.
Let’s dive into the game odds for Friday’s series opener between the Blue Jays and Phillies courtesy of bet365.

Blue Jays vs. Phillies odds

Blue Jays moneyline odds
-105
Phillies moneyline odds
-115
Runline odds
Phillies -1.5 (+175), Blue Jays +1.5 (-210)
Game total
Over 8 runs (-105), Under 8 (-115)
Date/time
June 13, 6:45 p.m. ET

About the Blue Jays (38-30 SU, 41-27 ATS, 36-31-1 o/u)

The Blue Jays are firing on all cylinders right now. They’re getting strong starting pitching and offensive contributions up and down the lineup from everyone. They’ve won 13 of their last 16 games and are 22-10 since May 8.
Catcher Alejandro Kirk is leading the recent surge, slashing an incredible .383/.441/.543 over the last 30 days while also playing incredible defence behind the plate. He ranks in the 100th percentile in framing, according to Baseball Savant, while also ranking in the 98th percentile in blocks above average and the 91st percentile in caught stealing above average. He’s well on his way to his second career All-Star nod and is in the conversation for his second Silver Slugger Award.
Toronto took two of three from the Phillies earlier this month at Rogers Centre.

About the Phillies (39-29 SU, 32-36 ATS, 29-36-3 o/u)

The Phillies have just three wins in their last 13 games, but they’re showing signs of life after taking two of three from the NL Central-leading Cubs earlier this week.
The pitching staff has really struggled recently, producing an ugly 5.60 ERA over the last 15 days while allowing the opposition to hit a lofty .278. Their relievers have been a concern all season long, with the group producing a 4.56 ERA (seventh worst in the majors) while converting just 20 of their 34 save opportunities. Jose Alvarado was doing a fine job as the team’s closer earlier in the season, but he was then suspended for 80 games for a positive drug test, leaving former Blue Jay Jordan Romano and Matt Strahm to handle high-leverage duties.

Probable starting pitchers

Toronto: RHP Kevin Gausman (5-4, 3.87 ERA, 8.57 K/9)
Gausman has been mediocre in two June starts after posting a sparkling 3-1 record with a 2.81 ERA across five May starts. He was touched up for three runs on four hits while walking three against the Minnesota Twins last time out, and the Athletics chased him from the game in the fifth inning in his start before that after amassing eight hits and three runs. However, he’s been exceptional in six night starts this year, posting a 4-1 record with a 2.58 ERA while holding opponents to a .210 batting average (5.17 ERA in day starts).
Philadelphia: LHP Ranger Suarez (4-1, 2.70 ERA, 7.89 K/9)
Suarez has been superb for the Phillies, holding the opposition scoreless in three of his seven starts this season. In fact, he’s allowed just six earned runs over his last six starts. The southpaw throws a very effective sinker, and opponents are barreling him up just 1.6% of the time, which ranks in the 99th percentile in the majors. He induces ground balls at an elite 54.3% rate, primarily using his nasty sinker, but also boasts an above-average fastball that features plenty of movement despite only averaging 92 mph. Toronto’s roster is a combined 0-for-9 all-time at the plate against Suarez.

Notable injuries

Pitchers Ryan Burr (shoulder), Nick Sandlin (lat), Yimi Garcia (shoulder), and Max Scherzer (thumb) are all on the injured list for the Blue Jays. Outfielders Anthony Santander (shoulder), Daulton Varsho (hamstring), and Nathan Lukes (neck) are also on the shelf. Infielder Ernie Clement is day-to-day with a lower-body injury.
Starting pitcher Aaron Nola (ankle) and first baseman Bryce Harper (wrist) are notably on the IL for the Phillies. Outfielder Brandon Marsh is also day-to-day with an elbow issue.

Weather

Forecasts are calling for temperatures around 24 C with a 60% chance of light showers in Philadelphia. Winds will blow in from right field at 7 mph.

Blue Jays vs. Phillies betting trends

  • The Blue Jays have the best record on the runline in the majors (41-27 ATS).
  • The over is 11-2 in Toronto’s last 13 games.
  • The Phillies are 21-13 SU but just 15-19 on the runline at home this season.
  • The Phillies have hit the team total under in 13 of their last 19 games.

Blue Jays vs. Phillies player prop trends

  • Suarez has struck out five or more batters in six of his seven starts this season and is -112 to record over 4.5 strikeouts in this matchup. However, the Blue Jays have struck out just 462 times this season (6.79 per game), the lowest amount in baseball.
  • George Springer and Kirk will both take seven-game hitting streaks into action Friday night. Springer is -180 to record a hit; Kirk is -235. Both players have also exceeded their lines of 1.5 total bases in seven consecutive contests.
  • Trea Turner has stolen a base in back-to-back games and four of his last 10. He’s +250 to steal a bag, and Gausman is one of the easiest pitchers in the league to steal against.
  • Nick Castellanos and Kyle Schwarber have very good career splits against Gausman. Castellanos owns a 1.124 OPS with two homers in 26 at-bats, while Schwarber boasts a 1.308 OPS with three homers in just 12 at-bats against Toronto’s veteran right-hander.
  • Clement has destroyed left-handed pitching this year, slashing .400/.448/.750 with a 1.198 OPS and four home runs in 60 at-bats against southpaws. He’s +105 to record over 1.5 total bases but is nursing a minor injury right now.

Blue Jays vs. Phillies best bet

  • Kirk over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs: -115 for one unit (best odds @ bet365). We have to keep riding Kirk’s hot bat until it cools off. He’s beaten this line in seven straight games and 10 of his last 11, and he’s smashed left-handed pitching this season with a .333/.389/.438 slash line. Kirk has also thrived against sinkers, Suarez’s go-to pitch, batting .311 with a .314 xBA and 65.1% hard-hit rate this season.
  • Castellanos over 1.5 total bases: +133 for one unit (best odds @ NorthStar Bets). The Phillies outfielder went 5-for-13 earlier this week across three games with the Cubs and has excellent career numbers (1.124 OPS with two homers in 26 at-bats) against Gausman. He’s topped this number in nine of his last 15 games, and he’s hitting .714 (.420 xBA) with a 50% hard-hit rate against splitters, Gausman’s signature pitch, this season.

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