When there are two distinct trends in a one-off event such as the Major League Baseball All-Star game, the law of averages would suggest the result will contradict at least one of them.
The American League is the slight -112 favorite with the National League coming back at -108, with an 8.5-run total on the MLB All-Star Game odds for Tuesday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The annual midsummer classic is taking place at Progressive Field in Cleveland.
The American League has won 23 of the last 30 All-Star games, including six in a row, which explains why it is the slight favorite. The total has gone UNDER in eight of the last 11 contests with an average total of 6.82 runs.
That being said, All-Star games are often decided by the pitchers and reserves and it’s worth noting the NL is dominating interleague play this season, going 89-73. Beyond a starting lineup with top power hitters such as reigning MVP Christian Yelich, Cody Bellinger and Josh Bell, the NL also has the likes of Home Run Derby winner Pete Alonso and Kris Bryant waiting to make an impact. Once starting pitcher Hyun-Jin Ryu’s work is done, the NL also has a deep staff including Cy Young Award winners Jacob deGrom and Clayton Kershaw.
Four of the last five games have been decided by two runs or fewer, and the NL offers +300 for a 1-2 runs’ win in margin-of-victory props on those MLB odds.
The AL is giving the pitching start to Justin Verlander, with fellow right-handers Gerrit Cole, Lucas Giolito and Jose Berrios standing out as the strongest first-half performers who will work for an inning or so. The American League’s starting nine offers plenty of clout with Mike Trout, Alex Bregman and Gary Sanchez all voted in as starters. But as the league with four teams on an 100-loss pace, it’s reasonable to wonder if the American League squad is as deep as their counterparts from the so-called senior circuit.
Last season’s 8-6 contest in Washington, D.C., was the first All-Star game with a double-digit total since 2005. However, the OVER on an 8.5 total seems attainable in what has been a year of the home run across the sport.