by OddsShark (@OddsShark) – Sponsored Post

The Toronto Blue Jays are catching a break in the pitching matchup, which might help with invoking the law of averages as they face a moneyline that has been far less than fruitful for their backers this season

The Blue Jays are the +125 home underdog while the Tampa Bay Rays are a -135 away favorite with a 9.5-run total on the MLB odds for Friday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. This is the 16th time this season that the Blue Jays have been an underdog of +110 to +140 on the moneyline at home, and they went 2-13 in the first 15 matchups. The Rays are 11-9 in their last 20 games as an away favorite of -125 to -145 on the moneyline.

Rays at Blue Jays | OddsShark Matchup Report

The total has gone OVER in 13 of the Blue Jays’ last 20 home games as an underdog of +110 to +140 on the moneyline. Reliever Diego Castillo (1-6, 3.96 ERA, 10.0 strikeouts per nine innings) will be the first on the mound for Tampa Bay, making his first start of the season. The total went OVER in eight of the 11 games Castillo “started” last season.

This year, right-handed batters have some isolated power against Castillo with nine extra-base hits, including four home runs, in 90 at-bats, so it might be a subtly favorable matchup in home run props for Blue Jays such as Vladimir Guerrero and Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

The Blue Jays will hand the ball to Jacob Waguespack (1-0, 5.68 ERA, 9.5 SO/9) for his third career major-league start. He allowed two earned runs over four innings against Tampa Bay in his MLB debut on May 27, which is his only outing so far against the Rays.

Left-hander Ryan Borucki (0-1, 3.86 ERA, 5.79 SO/9) will make his second start of the season on Saturday. The total has gone UNDER in six of his last eight home starts but Borucki is a bit of an unknown quantity as he works his way back from the elbow inflammation that cost him nearly the first four months of the season.

Coming off of a bullpen day and with Blake Snell (elbow) unable to pitch, the Rays will likely summon a starter from their Triple-A team.

Sunday, Aaron Sanchez (3-14, 6.06 ERA, 7.5 SO/9) starts for the Blue Jays. The total has gone UNDER in seven of Sanchez’s last 10 home starts at online sports betting sites. The Rays counter with Yonny Chirinos (8-5, 3.29 ERA, 7.8 SO/9), who has had the total go UNDER in eight of his last 11 away starts.

Following this series, the Blue Jays have a 10-game road trip, starting with a three-game set against the Kansas City Royals.

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