Blue Jays vs Marlins 06/22/21 – Odds and MLB Betting Trends

The Toronto Blue Jays will face some solid starting pitching as they look to build on their modest two-game winning streak this week. The Blue Jays are -105 away underdogs and the Miami Marlins are -115 home favorites with a 7.5-run total on the betting lines for Tuesday night at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

The Blue Jays are 11-9 in their last 20 away games against National League East teams, with the total going UNDER 14 times at sports betting sites. The Marlins are 7-13 in their last 20 home games against AL East teams, with the total going UNDER 12 times (how the OVER/UNDER works).

The Blue Jays have a 35-35 record, but their average of 5.01 runs per game is fourth-highest among the 30 MLB teams. They are also second with a .773 OPS (on-base plus slugging). Toronto’s pitching staff is 15th with a 4.12 earned-run average, and the relief corps is 13th in bullpen ERA at 4.01. The entire staff has had a tough month, with a 4.75 ERA so far in June.

The Marlins, who are 31-40, are scoring 3.96 runs per game, which is tied for 25th in MLB. Their .675 OPS ranks 26th. Miami is seventh in ERA at 3.40, and the Marlins relief corps is ninth at 3.74. Since June 1, the Marlins have a 3.38 ERA, good for sixth-best in MLB.

Righthander Ross Stripling (2-4, 4.64 ERA, 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings) will start for the Blue Jays on Tuesday, opposite fellow righty Sandy Alcantara (4-6, 3.09 ERA, 8.4 SO/9).

Stripling has a 3.22 ERA across his last four starts, and also has a 2.38 ERA in 11.1 career innings against Miami. His teams are 6-4 in his last 10 away starts, with the OVER hitting seven times. Alcantara has only faced Toronto once in his career, allowing four runs on nine hits over six innings on June 1 with a home run allowed to Vladimir Guerrero Jr.. Alcantara has not allowed a home run since then, and the Marlins are 4-5 in his last nine home starts with the total going UNDER six times.

The Blue Jays, per MLB.com, have not formally announced Wednesday’s starter. Righthander T.J. Zeuch (0-2, 6.60 ERA, 4.8 SO/9) covered for the absence of lefthander Steven Matz (COVID-19) during the last run through their rotation. The Marlins will start lefty Trevor Rogers (7-3, 1.87 ERA, 10.5 SO/9).

The Blue Jays are 4-3 in Zeuch’s seven career starts, with the UNDER hitting six times. Rogers, whom the Blue Jays have never faced, boasts the lowest home-run rate (0.4 per nine innings) in the National League. The Marlins are 6-2 in his last eight starts at home, with the OVER hitting five times.

The Blue Jays are back home on Thursday to begin a four-game series against the Baltimore Orioles.