Blue Jays vs White Sox 06/08/21 – Odds and MLB Betting Trends

by OddsShark (@OddsShark) – Sponsored Post

The Toronto Blue Jays have the challenge of facing a first-place team whose starting pitchers have been tough in their home ballpark, but there is a hint of value in their interdivisional trend. The Blue Jays are +135 away underdogs and the Chicago White Sox are -155 favorites with an 8.0-run total on the MLB odds for Tuesday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com (how the moneyline works).

The Blue Jays are 8-12 in their last 20 games as away underdogs of +130 to +150 at sports betting sites, and the total has gone OVER seven of the last eight times that they closed in that range on the road. The White Sox are 11-9 in their last 20 games as home favorites of -140 to -160, and the total has gone OVER six of the eight times that they closed in that range on the road. Toronto is 12-8 over its last 20 away games against AL Central teams. Chicago is 11-9 over its last 20 home games against AL East teams.

The Blue Jays, who have a 30-27 record, are fifth in MLB in runs per game at 4.95. Their lineup, led by Vladimir Guerrero Jr., has the second-best OPS in MLB at .763. Toronto’s pitching staff is 14th in earned-run average (4.01), with the relievers ranking eighth (3.59).

The White Sox, who are 36-23, are seventh in runs per game with 4.93 and rank fifth with a .749 OPS. Chicago’s pitching staff is third in ERA (3.25), with the relievers ranking ninth (3.65).

Lefthanders Robbie Ray (3-2, 3.57 ERA, 10.7 strikeouts per nine innings) and Carlos Rodón (5-2, 1.98 ERA, 13.2 SO/9) will start on Tuesday. Ray’s teams are 2-5 in his last seven away-underdog starts, but the total has gone UNDER in 13 of his last 20 games where his team was an underdog on the road. The White Sox are 12-3 in Rodón’s last 15 starts when his club was a home favorite, and the total has gone UNDER in the last three. He has a 2.70 ERA in 13.1 career innings against the Blue Jays.

Righthander Alek Manoah (1-0, 3.86 ERA,  11.6 SO/9) will make his third career MLB start in Wednesday’s matchup. Chicago has not formally announced a starter, according to MLB.com, but righty Lance Lynn (7-1, 1.23 ERA, 9.7 SO/9) could get the call based on Chicago’s recent rotation. Manoah allowed some hard contact in his last outing. Lynn’s teams are 6-1 in his last seven home starts with the UNDER hitting six times, but he has a 5.45 ERA over 33 career innings against the Blue Jays.

Lefthander Hyun Jin Ryu (5-3, 3.23 ERA, 8.3 SO/9) will seek a bounce-back start in Thursday’s matchup. Based on Chicago’s recent usage, lefty Dallas Keuchel (4-1, 4.25 ERA, 4.5 SO/9) might be in line to start. Ryu allowed six earned runs in his last start, but one indicator of a possible bounce-back is that his teams are 10-4 in his last 14 away starts with the total going UNDER 14 times. The White Sox are 8-2 in Keuchel’s last 10 home starts, but the last four have gone OVER. He has never been charged with a loss against Toronto, but has a 4.78 ERA in 37.2 career innings.

The Blue Jays’ next series is a four-game wraparound set against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park that begins on Friday.