Blue Jays vs Yankees 05/25/21 – Odds and MLB Betting Trends

The reeling Toronto Blue Jays head into Yankee Stadium where they haven’t won often in recent years, and the pitcher they have the best track record with is the one who was last seen throwing a no-hitter. The Blue Jays are +145 underdogs and the Yankees are -170 favorites at home with a 9.0-run total on the MLB odds for Tuesday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com (how the moneyline works).

The Blue Jays are 4-11 in their last 15 games against the Yankees as an underdog on the road, with the total going UNDER nine times at sports betting sites. More recently, Toronto is 6-5 in its last 11 games as an underdog on the road, with the total going OVER seven times. New York is 10-2 in its last 12 home games as a favorite, with the total going UNDER seven times.

The Blue Jays, who have lost six games in a row to fall to 23-23, are averaging 5.00 runs per game thanks to their .746 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentages) that ranks seventh among the 30 MLB teams. On the pitching side, the Blue Jays are now 15th with a 4.04 earned-run average, and their bullpen ERA of 3.63 ranks ninth.

The Yankees, who are 28-19, are averaging 4.02 runs per game with a .702 OPS that ranks 17th in MLB. The Yankees have the third-best ERA at 3.19, and their bullpen ERA of 2.95 also ranks third.

Lefthander Steven Matz (5-2, 4.69 ERA, 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings) will start on Tuesday opposite righthander Corey Kluber (4-2, 2.86 ERA, 8.9 SO/9), who pitched a no-hitter on May 20. Matz has a 6.83 ERA in 27.2 career innings against the Yankees, and his teams are 4-8 in his last 12 starts as an away underdog. Kluber is coming off of a no-hitter against the Texas Rangers on May 20, and the total has gone UNDER in his last five starts when his team was a home favorite. However, Kluber has a 4.47 ERA in 44.1 innings against Toronto.

Righthander Alek Manaoh (3-0, 0.50 ERA, 13.5 SO/9 for Buffalo of Triple-A East) is expected to make his MLB debut in Wednesday’s matchup, while righthander Domingo Germán (4-2, 3.05 ERA, 8.5 SO/9) will start for the Yankees. The Yankees are 15-3 in Germán’s last 18 starts at home, with the total going UNDER 12 times. He has a 3.86 career ERA against Toronto in 23.1 innings.

Robbie Ray (2-1, 3.42 ERA, 10.5 SO/9) will start opposite fellow lefthander Jordan Montgomery (2-1, 4.07 ERA, 9.6 SO/9) on Thursday. Ray has a 2.25 ERA in 16 innings against the Yankees, and his teams are 6-6 in his last 12 away starts with a 6-5-1 split on the totals. The Yankees are 7-3 in Montgomery’s last 10 home starts, with the total going UNDER seven times. Montgomery also has a 3.21 ERA in 28 innings against the Blue Jays.

The Blue Jays wrap up their road trip with a three-game series against the Cleveland Indians that begins on Friday.