logo
MLB Betting Preview (June 4): Orioles vs. Blue Jays predictions
Baltimore Orioles shortstop Gunnar Henderson (2) hits a double against the Toronto Blue Jays during the ninth inning at Rogers Centre.
Photo credit: Nick Turchiaro-USA TODAY Sports
Greg Warren
Jun 4, 2024, 10:30 EDTUpdated: Jun 4, 2024, 10:44 EDT
Comments
After falling 7-2 to the Baltimore Orioles in the series opener on Monday, the Toronto Blue Jays will look to rebound Tuesday in the second contest of a four-game series with their American League East Division foes.
Baltimore went deep four times Monday and starting pitcher Grayson Rodriguez held the Blue Jays to two runs – one earned – to give the Orioles their ninth win in their last 11 games. They’re now an impressive 12-4 against AL East opponents this season.
It was a rough outing for Toronto starting pitcher Kevin Gausman, who got taken deep three times and allowed six earned runs. The Blue Jays scattered eight hits but managed just a pair of early runs before the bats went silent in the later innings.
Let’s dive into the game odds for Tuesday’s clash between the Orioles and Blue Jays courtesy of bet365:

Orioles vs. Blue Jays odds

Orioles Moneyline Odds
-170
Blue Jays Moneyline Odds
+145
Runline Odds
Orioles -1.5 (-105), Blue Jays +1.5 (-115)
Over/Under
Over 8.5 runs (+100), Under 8.5 runs (-120)
Time/Date
June 4, 7:07 p.m. ET
TV
Broadcast: Sportsnet, Sportsnet+

Betting Baltimore Orioles (38-20 SU, 32-26 ATS, 28-22-8 o/u)

Outfielder Austin Hays was the unlikely hero for the Orioles on Monday, swatting his first two home runs of the season while collecting three RBIs hitting out of the No. 8 spot in the lineup. In fact, the bottom third of the order did most of the damage in the series opener, combining for four hits and five RBIs. 
It’s not all good news for the Orioles, though, who revealed left-hander John Means underwent his second Tommy John surgery on Monday. He’ll be out for the remainder of the season and likely most of next season as the typical timeline for recovery is 12-18 months for the procedure. Means burst onto the scene in 2019, earning his first and only All-Star nod. The Orioles were optimistic he could be a key part of their rotation for a deep playoff run this year. However, the team boasts the most impressive stable of prospects in baseball and has the necessary pieces to trade for a front-end starter prior to July’s deadline, if needed.

Betting Toronto Blue Jays (28-31 SU, 29-30 ATS, 26-32-1 o/u)

The Blue Jays just can’t seem to put things together offensively on a consistent basis, with the team struggling to put runs on the board again Monday. They’re averaging just 3.9 runs per game (24th in the majors) while ranking in the back half of baseball in team batting average (.234 – 19th), slugging percentage (.372 – 21st), OPS (.684 – 19th) and home runs (51 – 25th).
However, they can’t point the finger at Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who launched his sixth homer of the campaign on Monday as part of a two-hit performance. He’s slashing a blistering .381/.469/.515 over the last 30 days and boasts a career .316 batting average with 23 homers and 57 RBIs against the Orioles.
Toronto will be hard-pressed to turn things around offensively on Tuesday against Baltimore starter Corbin Burnes, a legitimate Cy Young contender in the AL.

Probable starting pitchers

Baltimore: RHP Corbin Burnes (5-2, 2.35 ERA, 8.79 K/9, 1.05 WHIP)
Burnes has the second-shortest American League Cy Young Award odds (+450) behind Detroit’s Tarik Skubal for a good reason. The right-hander has been a model of consistency in his first season in the AL, surrendering three earned runs or fewer in all of his 12 starts. He’s coming off an 11-strikeout performance against the Los Angeles Angels last week and he threw six innings of one-run ball against Toronto back on May 13 at Camden Yards but managed just two strikeouts. Burnes is a truly elite ace.
Toronto: TBD
The Blue Jays have not yet formally announced a starting pitcher for Tuesday night, but there’s speculation Bowden Francis is likely to be activated off the injured list to make the start after missing time with a forearm issue. 

Weather

The retractable dome at Rogers Centre should be open Tuesday night. Forecasts are calling for temperatures around 23 C and clear skies. Winds will be light, blowing from left field to right field at 8 mph.

MLB betting trends

  • The Blue Jays have played over the total in three straight games.
  • Baltimore has won 19 straight series against AL East opponents.
  • The Orioles have played over the first five innings team total in 12 of their last 17 games.
  • Toronto has not scored a run in the first inning in a franchise-record 25 straight games.

MLB player prop trends

  • Burnes has recorded 18 outs or more in seven straight starts. He’s -180 to record over 17.5 outs.
  • Orioles outfielder Anthony Santander will carry a six-game hitting streak into action Tuesday. He’s -225 to get a hit and +105 to record over 1.5 total bases. He went deep Monday as part of a two-hit performance.
  • Blue Jays outfielder Daulton Varsho is on a nice run in the hits + runs + RBIs category, cashing over 0.5 in eight of his last 10 games and at a 67% rate overall this season. He’s -170 to accomplish the feat on Tuesday.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays predictions

  • NRFI (no run first inning): -120. As previously stated, the Blue Jays haven’t scored a run in the first inning in 25 straight games! And they’ll be squaring off against one of the top pitchers in the league on Tuesday. The Orioles are also slow starters, posting a 44-14 NRFI record (76%) to this point in the season.
  • Orioles runline -1.5: -105. There’s a huge starting pitching mismatch in this game and Toronto will surely be rolling out a plethora of relievers, which isn’t a good thing considering the team’s 4.54 bullpen ERA (27th in the majors). Blue Jays relievers have coughed up the most run home runs in baseball (34) which also doesn’t bode well against an Orioles team that has smashed 88 homers (second in the majors) this season.

Editorials

Breaking News