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MLB Betting Preview (May 14): Blue Jays vs. Orioles predictions
Toronto Blue Jays shortstop Bo Bichette (11) bats during the fifth inning against the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium.
Photo credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports
Greg Warren
May 14, 2024, 12:00 EDTUpdated: May 14, 2024, 12:02 EDT
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The Toronto Blue Jays are back in action Tuesday for the second of three contests with the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards after coming away with a 3-2 extra-innings victory on Monday.
Daulton Varsho launched his seventh homer of the season, drove in two runs, and even took away a home run from the Orioles with a leaping catch at the wall in the fourth inning. His RBI groundout in the top of the 10th inning proved to be the difference in the game.
Baltimore has sustained back-to-back losses for just the third time this season and is in danger of dropping three games in a row for the first time. Despite Monday’s loss, the Orioles still remain atop the American League East standings with a 26-14 record.
Let’s dive into the game odds for this clash between the Blue Jays and Orioles via bet365:

Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds

Blue Jays Moneyline Odds
+135
Orioles Moneyline Odds
-160
Runline Odds
Orioles -1.5 (+125), Blue Jays +1.5 (-150)
Over/Under
Over 8.5 runs (-110), Under 8.5 runs (-110)
Time/Date
May 14, 6:35 p.m. ET
TV
Broadcast: Sportsnet 1, Sportsnet+

Betting Toronto Blue Jays (19-22 SU, 19-22 ATS, 17-24 o/u)

The Blue Jays were incredibly shorthanded Monday due to a virus that is circulating around the team. Kevin Kiermaier, George Springer, and Justin Turner all sat out because they were feeling under the weather, and even Monday’s starting pitcher, Jose Berrios, admitted to not being 100% on the mound. Surprisingly, the Blue Jays still managed to knock off the Orioles without those key players. Bettors will want to monitor the lineup card heading into Tuesday before placing their wagers to see if the aforementioned three players are healthy enough to play. It’s also possible the virus continues to spread and knocks other regulars out of the lineup.
One major positive for the Blue Jays was the outstanding day at the plate from shortstop Bo Bichette, who recorded his first three-hit game of the season to extend his hitting streak to five games. Bichette struggled mightily in April by his standards, slashing just .219/.276/.313 with a single home run and nine RBIs.
Catcher Danny Jansen didn’t play Monday due to back spasms and he’s listed as day-to-day.

Betting Baltimore Orioles (26-14 SU, 21-18 ATS, 20-16-3 o/u)

The Orioles were held to just three hits by Berrios and Toronto’s relievers on Monday, but two of them off the bat of catcher Adley Rutschman left the ballpark. Hopefully, you read Monday’s betting preview here on Blue Jays Nation and cashed in on our recommended wager of him going deep at juicy +600 odds. It was Rutschman’s first career two-homer game.
Baltimore is scoring an average of five runs per game this season, which ranks fourth in the majors, but the team has struggled to put runs on the board over its last four games, averaging just 3.25 per game during that span. The Orioles have hit the most home runs (62) in MLB and also boast the second-best slugging percentage (.438) in baseball.

Probable starting pitchers

Toronto: RHP Chris Bassitt (3-5, 5.06 ERA, 8.44 K/9, 1.55 WHIP)
Bassitt picked up his third win of the season last Wednesday, allowing two earned runs on three hits while striking out six Philadelphia Phillies over 6 1/3 innings. It was a gutsy performance from the right-hander against a premium lineup. Bassitt’s control has been problematic at times, though, as he’s walked two or more batters in all but one of his eight starts. The veteran has pitched relatively well historically against the Orioles, compiling a 3-2 record with a 4.79 ERA while holding Baltimore hitters to a .196 batting average over six career starts.
Baltimore: RHP Kyle Bradish (0-0, 1.86 ERA, 13.03 K/9, 1.24 WHIP)
Bradish will be making just his third start of the campaign after suffering a UCL sprain prior to spring training that landed him on the injured list. However, he’s been fantastic in a small sample size, holding the opposition to just two earned runs over two starts against the Washington Nationals and New York Yankees. He struck out nine Nationals batters over five innings last time out while increasing his pitch count to 90. Bradish has struggled mightily against Toronto, going 1-3 with a 5.25 ERA while allowing the Blue Jays to hit a lofty .344 against him over seven career starts.

Weather

Weather could certainly play a factor in this game, with a 90% chance of showers expected throughout the evening hours. Temperatures will be warm around 22 C with winds blowing out to left field at 11 mph.

MLB betting trends

  • The under is 4-1 in Toronto’s last five games.
  • The Orioles are 9-5 (64.3%-win rate) when favoured by -159 or more this season.
  • The Blue Jays are 5-12 (29.4%-win rate) when listed as underdogs this season.

MLB player prop trends

  • Bassitt has issued two or more walks in seven of his last eight starts. He’s -175 to record over 1.5 walks.
  • Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has at least one hit in 13 of his last 14 games. He’s -240 to get a hit and +150 to record over 1.5 total bases.
  • Rutschman has now homered in back-to-back games with three in that span. He’s +650 to go deep again.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles predictions

  • Bradish under 17.5 outs recorded: -125. As previously mentioned, Bradish has historically struggled against Toronto and is making just his third start since coming off the injured list. He maxed out at five innings (15 outs recorded) in his last outing and the Baltimore coaching staff will likely continue to play it safe and yank him once he reaches 90-100 pitches. The additional threat of rain in the forecast also suggests this could be a short outing for the right-hander, if the game goes into a lengthy delay.
  • Bichette is heating up and he’s had some success against Bradish in the past (1.108 OPS and two homers in 15 at-bats). There’s not much value in betting him to get a single hit at -375, but he could be worth a look at +110 to record over 1.5 total bases or +160 to get two hits or more. If you’re feeling really adventurous, he’s an enticing +1000 to homer.
  • Keep an eye on Gunnar Henderson for the Orioles, who has two homers and five RBIs in six career at-bats against Bassitt. The shortstop is hitless in his last two games, but he does lead the team with 12 home runs. He’s +450 to homer and +105 to record over 1.5 total bases.

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